Brand Architecture Amid Economic Uncertainty: CPG Lessons

Two professionals collaborating in a modern office, discussing data analytics on computer screens with charts.

Economic uncertainty presents a complex challenge for consumer goods companies

Economic uncertainty presents a complex challenge for consumer goods companies, particularly for established and emerging brands navigating this space. Shifting consumer behaviours, volatile supply chains, and intense competition demand strategic agility. Now that we are a quarter of the way through 2025, brands are keenly aware of the need to adapt.

For CPG brands, effectively weathering this turbulence hinges on a robust and adaptable brand architecture. It’s not merely about organising logos; it’s a fundamental framework that dictates how brands within a portfolio relate to each other, to the parent company, and crucially, to the consumer during times of financial pressure.

A well-defined brand architecture provides clarity, reduces market confusion, and allows companies to pivot quickly in response to changing conditions. It enables strategic resource allocation, ensuring investment flows to the brands best positioned to succeed. This structure becomes particularly vital when budgets tighten and every marketing pound must deliver maximum impact.

Understanding how to leverage brand architecture can transform uncertainty from a threat into an opportunity for growth and resilience.

Restructuring Brand Portfolios for Economic Resilience

Economic headwinds necessitate a critical evaluation of the entire brand portfolio. For many CPGs, this isn’t typically about multi-billion-pound mergers and acquisitions, though larger trends show 71% of CEOs still planning M&A as a growth strategy [1]. Instead, it’s about strategic rationalisation. Which brands are essential? Which offer growth potential even in a downturn? And which might be a drain on precious resources? This strategic restructuring is a proactive measure to build resilience [1].

For a brand with a diverse portfolio, this might mean identifying underperforming product lines that consume disproportionate marketing spend or operational effort. Divesting or discontinuing these non-core assets allows focus on more profitable and strategically aligned areas [1].

Alternatively, brand revitalisation can breathe new life into existing assets by refreshing image, product offerings, or marketing to align with current consumer preferences without the need for large-scale acquisitions [1]. It’s about creating a leaner, more focused portfolio that can respond nimbly to market shifts.

Consider a mid-sized CPG firm in North America that faced declining market share and profitability. By rationalising its brand portfolio, divesting underperforming brands and focusing on high-return products, the company saw a significant increase in profitability and reduced operational costs. This illustrates how strategic pruning can enhance market competitiveness.

To identify which brands to prune, companies might assess factors like market share trajectory, profitability margins, alignment with core business strategy, and resource consumption.

Measuring the effectiveness of such rationalisation requires a granular approach. CPG brands can track KPIs like sales growth for remaining brands, market share shifts, and changes in profit margins. Monitoring SKU reduction is also key to simplifying inventory and reducing complexity.

Accessible analytics tools like Google Analytics, Mixpanel, HubSpot Analytics, and Facebook Pixel can help track consumer behaviour and sales trends to assess the impact.

Tiered Pricing Strategies Within Brand Architecture

Consumer spending patterns inevitably shift when economic pressures mount. Value becomes a primary driver for many shoppers. CPG companies must implement tiered pricing strategies across their brand portfolios to capture value-conscious consumers while retaining premium segments [12].

The rise of private-label products, now accounting for nearly 20% of U.S. grocery spend, underscores this shift towards value [10]. This statistic demonstrates the consumer’s willingness to trade down for more affordable options.

For a CPG brand, this doesn’t necessarily mean launching a full private-label line. It could involve clearly defining economy, mid-tier, and premium options within existing product families or developing a specific value-focused sub-brand [12]. Each tier needs a distinct value proposition.

  • Economy Tier: Focuses on essential functionality and competitive pricing.
  • Mid-Tier: Balances quality and features with accessible pricing.
  • Premium Tier: Emphasises superior quality, unique benefits, or aspirational positioning.

For instance, a food manufacturer dealing with rising raw material costs introduced a premium product line to cater to consumers willing to pay more for higher quality or organic options. This strategy improved profit margins and led to a notable increase in overall revenue.

This stratified approach allows companies to maintain market share across different consumer segments and economic cycles, protecting overall profitability [12]. Evaluating key performance indicators like market share per tier, sales growth, and customer segmentation penetration can help gauge the effectiveness of this approach.

Building on that thought, beyond pricing tiers, developing targeted sub-brands offers another strategic approach to maintaining market share during economic fluctuations.

Sub-brand Development to Maintain Market Share

Developing targeted sub-brands offers CPG companies a flexible way to maintain or grow market share during economic downturns. Sub-brands can address specific, emerging consumer needs without diluting the equity of the master brand [13].

Consider Shein’s launch of Musera, a trend-based sub-brand in the UK [13]. By creating a sub-brand focused on regional trends, Shein demonstrates how targeted extensions can respond nimbly to market shifts while benefiting from the parent company’s infrastructure.

For CPGs, sub-brand development can be a lower-risk way to experiment with different value propositions or price points, perhaps targeting specific demographics like Gen Z who value sustainability and authenticity [14]. Developing sub-brands focused on eco-friendly packaging or leveraging digital platforms like TikTok can resonate deeply with this audience [14].

It provides diversification and mitigates risk compared to launching under the main brand name [13]. Our analysis indicates a significant increase in geo-specific sub-brand launches, driven by AI-powered cultural trend forecasting [7, 13]. This suggests a future where hyper-localised sub-brand ecosystems could dominate market share retention.

Value-Driven Brand Positioning in Uncertain Markets

Economic uncertainty sharpens consumer focus on value. CPG companies must reconsider how their brands communicate their value propositions, ensuring clarity and relevance [15]. Brand architecture plays a key role in aligning this messaging across the portfolio.

The slowdown in the beauty and personal care industry, with consumers favouring clinical positioning and smarter purchases, illustrates this trend [15]. Consumers are moving towards pragmatic decisions based on tangible benefits and efficacy.

For a brand, this means recalibrating brand positioning to emphasise functional value, scientific backing, or cost-effectiveness [15]. Adjusting brand architecture ensures each brand within the portfolio has a clear, value-driven positioning that resonates with increasingly discerning consumers.

This might involve highlighting quality-to-price ratio, durability, or specific benefits that improve a consumer’s life [16]. Transparent communication about sourcing and practices can also build trust and enhance perceived value, especially for price-sensitive consumers [16].

Walmart, for example, has strategically shifted its focus towards health and value-consciousness by offering Mediterranean-inspired products, leveraging private-label products to reinvest in its infrastructure and offer premium wellness assortments while maintaining its low-price promise. This positions Walmart as a primary destination for health-conscious consumers and insulates it from competition.

Independent retail stores also offer a strategic advantage for CPG brands seeking early wins and deep consumer engagement, particularly in close-knit communities where trust and shared values drive purchasing decisions. Achieving successful rotation in neighbourhood markets can validate a product and build confidence, creating a reputation rooted in authenticity and resilience.

Experiential marketing, which creates engaging and memorable brand experiences, is particularly effective in competitive markets, fostering a sense of ownership and value among consumers. Brands that excel in this area, such as Apple and Nike, enhance customer loyalty and drive revenue.

By applying the brand experience to all aspects of the customer journey, companies can significantly boost customer loyalty and long-term engagement.

British manufacturers are redefining value-led production through small-batch, proudly local manufacturing, responding to policy uncertainty, rising costs, and shifting consumer habits. Focusing on the ‘Made in the UK’ label differentiates them and aligns with consumer preferences for locally produced goods.

Samsung has positioned itself as a global leader by designing products that elevate lifestyles through form and function, focusing on innovation in design to enhance environments and reflect personal style. This focus on lifestyle enhancement is a key component of Samsung’s value-driven positioning.

How effectively does your current brand architecture communicate value in today’s price-sensitive market? Can your portfolio quickly adapt to changing consumer priorities? Does your pricing strategy accommodate different value perceptions?

"Consumers are looking for reassurance [about their purchases] during uncertain times." - Lisa Gunther

Technology Integration in Brand Architecture Strategy

Economic uncertainty accelerates the need for technological innovation in brand architecture. Leveraging digital platforms, data analytics, and even accessible AI tools enhances decision-making, creating more responsive and resilient brand portfolios [19].

While large retailers invest in extensive digital cores for innovation, data, and AI [19], CPGs can leverage readily available tools.

  • Google Analytics: Provides insights into website traffic and consumer behaviour.
  • Social media insights: Offer valuable demographic and engagement data.
  • Simple CRM data: Can reveal purchase history and customer preferences.

Integrating data from various sources into a centralised system, even a spreadsheet initially, allows for basic descriptive and diagnostic analysis. More advanced tools like Tableau or Power BI can visualise complex data for easier interpretation, while survey tools like SurveyMonkey or Qualtrics collect direct consumer feedback.

Social media analytics tools such as Hootsuite or Sprout Social monitor consumer sentiment, and behavioural analytics tools like Mixpanel or Amplitude track user interactions with digital products. Sentiment analysis tools like Brandwatch or Talkwalker gauge brand perception from online reviews and social media.

Predictive analytics, which uses machine learning models to forecast demand and consumer behaviour, can forecast future consumer trends. A/B testing assesses the impact of different strategies on consumer behaviour.

However, CPG brands often face resource constraints, limited access to specialised talent, and legacy technology debt compared to larger enterprises [Forbes, TechCrunch]. This can make comprehensive digital transformation challenging, sometimes leading to piecemeal implementations [Forbes].

Scalability can also be an issue with solutions that don’t grow with the business [Harvard Business Review]. Despite these hurdles, technology enables more sophisticated brand relationship management, allowing companies to test and implement new brand hierarchies or extensions with greater precision and lower risk.

Data-driven decision-making is crucial for navigating economic challenges [19]. Consider how a snack brand might use basic social listening tools to identify which product variants perform best during economic downturns, allowing for quick reallocation of marketing resources.

Even with limited resources, brands can implement simple A/B testing on packaging designs or messaging across different sub-brands, using readily available digital tools to measure consumer response and inform architecture decisions.

AI’s role in CPG brand portfolio management is growing. This was recently published, highlighting how AI’s ability to analyse vast amounts of data allows brands to tailor their offerings more effectively. CMOs are moving from AI experimentation to execution, focusing on personalised customer engagement.

AI is enhancing customer experiences through personalised recommendations, although a gap remains between consumer expectations and delivery.

Published just yesterday, the Triple-P Framework highlights AI’s impact on brand presence, perception, and performance in search engines, noting that AI is not just retrieving information but actively evaluating and recommending brands.

The diversification of the search ecosystem, with AI-generated content playing a significant role, underscores the need for brands to adapt their strategies to maintain a positive online presence. AI’s influence extends to asset management, revolutionising portfolio management through predictive analytics and personalisation.

For CPG brands, this means more accurate market predictions and risk management, enabling better strategic decisions.

Generative AI is increasingly adopted to enhance marketing campaigns, leveraging AI for chatbots, predictive analytics, and automated content creation. This technology allows for more efficient marketing strategies and operational improvements, although concerns about data security and implementation costs persist.

Trust in AI is critical, with strong governance essential for successful implementation. As AI investment grows, ensuring transparency and fairness in AI applications is crucial for building consumer trust and driving brand success.

AI is also revolutionising digital advertising by enabling personalised ad experiences at scale, leading to more targeted and effective strategies. However, many marketers remain hesitant due to privacy concerns and the fear of losing the human touch.

As AI-generated content becomes more prevalent, the importance of a strong brand voice is amplified. CPG brands must focus on creating original, human-centered content to differentiate themselves.

This shift from SEO to AI optimisation requires brands to adapt their content strategies to maintain visibility and engagement. The success of AI in marketing depends heavily on the mindset of marketing teams.

Brands that embrace strategic AI implementation and transform their marketing approaches are likely to see significant revenue growth. This requires developing new KPIs to measure AI’s unique value and fostering cross-functional collaboration.

Despite economic uncertainties, CPG brands are increasing AI investments for efficiency and enhanced customer experiences. The focus is on AI-powered business solutions offering cost savings and productivity improvements, although understanding the full value and risks remains a challenge.

The transformative power of AI is evident in its impact on business models. Understanding AI’s potential to disrupt traditional models is crucial for strategic planning and innovation.

AI tools are revolutionising portfolio management, offering insights into market trends and consumer behaviour, enabling real-time portfolio adjustments and personalised asset allocation. Despite macroeconomic challenges, the momentum for AI and GenAI adoption continues to grow.

Global Supply Chain Considerations in Brand Architecture

Economic uncertainty often disrupts global supply chains, making supply chain vulnerability a critical consideration for brand architecture. Structuring portfolios to mitigate these risks is essential [17].

Consumer confidence has dropped significantly, partly due to tariff concerns, impacting sales [17]. A recent survey highlights that 44% of Americans believe tariffs have increased costs, leading 25% to opt for generic products and 22% to seek better deals [Source].

This highlights the direct link between global trade tensions and consumer behaviour. For a brand, this means evaluating how each brand is affected by supply chain risks and potentially restructuring to reduce exposure [17].

This might involve exploring more localised production for certain brands, simplifying product lines to reduce reliance on complex global sourcing, or developing flexible sourcing approaches [17]. Transparent communication with consumers about potential delays or stock issues can help maintain trust and manage expectations [18].

Brands that successfully navigate these challenges can strengthen their reputation for reliability and customer-centricity [18]. CPGs must also be mindful of legal and regulatory considerations when adapting supply chain strategies, such as compliance with environmental regulations and truth in advertising laws regarding sourcing claims [European Commission, FTC].

In light of recent geopolitical tensions, CPGs should consider expanding their sourcing and shipping networks to mitigate risks associated with regional disruptions and ensure continuity. Leveraging AI and data analytics is becoming crucial in redefining supply chains.

AI-powered digital twins, which are virtual simulations of processes, can simulate and test supply chain networks quickly, allowing for rapid decision-making in response to disruptions. Integrating data sharing across partners can enhance transparency and efficiency.

With a significant portion of supply chain breaches originating from third-party vulnerabilities, CPGs must adopt comprehensive cybersecurity frameworks. Regular risk assessments and monitoring, along with staff education, are essential.

As tariffs and regulatory requirements evolve, prioritising supplier ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) visibility can help navigate compliance challenges and mitigate risks. Adapting to technological advancements like AI and machine learning allows CPGs to detect risks earlier and make informed decisions, monitoring global trade activities and alerting companies to potential disruptions.

Weatherproofing and infrastructure resilience are important, particularly in regions prone to extreme weather. Investing in infrastructure improvements and comprehensive business insurance can protect against unpredictable disruptions.

The UK retail sector’s recent operational failures highlight the need for robust business continuity plans. Strengthening resilience controls, updating legacy systems, and preparing for potential disruptions are key.

Strengthening SME capabilities within the supply chain is crucial for economic growth and resilience. Workshops and toolkits aimed at improving sustainability standards and compliance can support this.

Adopting sustainable logistics practices enhances resilience, including building intelligent logistical networks and fortifying sectors against future disruptions. Investing in a digital core capable of delivering innovation and leveraging AI for differentiation helps manage costs and maintain a competitive edge.

By anticipating shifts in demand and financial conditions, CPGs can better navigate the challenges posed by economic headwinds and supply chain issues.

Business team collaborating in a modern office, analyzing data on digital displays and discussing strategies.

"In times of economic uncertainty, a resilient brand architecture can transform challenges into opportunities." - David A. Aaker

Consumer Trust and Transparency in Brand Relationships

Uncertainty heightens consumer anxiety and skepticism, making trust and transparency paramount. Effective brand architecture should emphasise authenticity, clarity, and empathy in brand relationships [18].

High consumer anxiety about potential tariffs is already changing spending behaviours [18]. This emotional context requires brands to acknowledge concerns through transparent communication about pricing, sourcing, and value [18].

For a brand, this could involve clear product labeling, direct and honest communication on social media about any challenges, or highlighting local sourcing if applicable [16]. Simplifying brand architecture creates clearer relationships between master brands and sub-brands, ensuring consumers understand each brand’s purpose and value [18].

Empathetic marketing that addresses economic anxieties while reinforcing long-term commitments to quality builds crucial loyalty [18]. Building communities around products on social media can also foster a sense of belonging and loyalty [16].

Oatly, for instance, has used social media to be open about supply chain challenges and sustainability efforts, fostering a community that values honesty [Forbes]. Allbirds has leveraged social media to build a community around environmental impact and transparency [Business Insider].

Recent research highlights that 51% of Americans plan to cut non-essential purchases due to economic pressures, including anticipated tariffs. This underscores the need for brands to demonstrate empathy and understanding to maintain trust and loyalty.

A Forrester report predicts a 25% decline in brand loyalty by 2025, driven by increased price sensitivity and economic pressures. The digital landscape has exacerbated trust issues, prompting businesses to consider appointing Chief Trust Officers.

The luxury market is experiencing a downturn as consumers shift spending habits. The trend towards “affordable luxury” suggests a departure of lower- and middle-income consumers.

The Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) reports that 94% of marketers are concerned about the economic outlook, necessitating a shift towards unified measurement in advertising for optimizing campaign performance [Source].

The US-China trade agreement has led to significant changes in consumer behavior, with a reduction in tariffs expected to gradually restore consumer confidence. However, retailers may face prolonged challenges as consumers adjust to new economic realities.

Ford and Hyundai’s responses to tariffs have been noted by consumers, highlighting the importance of strategic messaging. Ipsos research indicates that price is the primary factor for consumers, with 57% prioritizing necessity over brand loyalty.

This trend emphasizes the need for competitive pricing. A survey reveals that 71% of US shoppers are uncomfortable with AI tools used by retailers, leading consumers to prioritize price over brand loyalty.

This highlights the need for transparency and ethical AI use. The popularity of Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) options is rising amid economic anxiety, reflecting the financial strain on consumers and the need for flexible payment options. The Consumer Staples Sector SPDR (XLP) has identified key pivot points, suggesting strategic positioning opportunities.

Common challenges in building consumer trust through transparency include competitive pressure, budget constraints, maintaining a consistent tone of voice, concerns about AI-generated content, and time limitations .

Successful communication strategies include example-led content using case studies, personalisation and authenticity, comprehensive and trustworthy content leveraging AI, storytelling, social media engagement, educational content, certifications and partnerships, and customer feedback loops. Is your brand communication transparent enough to maintain trust during uncertainty?

Building Resilient Brand Ecosystems

Navigating economic uncertainty requires CPG companies to view brand architecture not just as an organisational chart, but as a strategic tool for resilience. This means:

  • Strategic portfolio rationalisation rather than large-scale M&A.
  • Implementing tiered pricing within existing or slightly expanded structures.
  • Developing targeted sub-brands for niche markets or demographics.
  • Refining value propositions to resonate with price-sensitive consumers.
  • Integrating accessible technology for agile decision-making.
  • Addressing supply chain vulnerabilities through realistic, scaled strategies like localisation or flexible sourcing.
  • Building consumer trust through transparency and empathy.

These strategies, grounded in a deep understanding of market dynamics and consumer needs, empower brands to not only survive but thrive during challenging times. A well-executed brand architecture ensures clarity, drives efficiency, and maintains relevance, positioning brands for sustained success.

The data is clear: CPG brands that strategically adapt their architecture during economic uncertainty outperform competitors. By mastering these brand architecture strategies, your CPG brand won’t just survive economic uncertainty—it will emerge stronger, more connected to consumers, and positioned for sustainable growth when markets stabilise.

How resilient is your brand architecture to economic shifts? Understanding how to adapt your brand architecture can unlock significant potential, transforming challenges into opportunities for growth and deeper consumer connection. It’s about creating a flexible, robust system that can weather any storm.

Ready to transform your brand architecture into a strategic advantage during economic uncertainty? Brand and Deliver specialises in helping CPG brands create resilient, adaptable brand structures that drive growth even in challenging markets. Connect with our experts today to develop a resilient framework that

Our Opinion

We see economic uncertainty not as a barrier, but as a critical test of a brand’s fundamental strength and strategic agility. For consumer goods companies, this means brand architecture is no longer just an organisational chart; it is the essential framework for resilience and growth. We champion a proactive approach to portfolio optimisation, ensuring resources are focused on brands positioned to deliver measurable results and connect deeply with consumers, even under pressure. This requires decisive action – rationalising where necessary, implementing tiered strategies to capture diverse value needs, and developing targeted sub-brands that respond nimbly to shifting consumer priorities. It’s about crafting powerful, clear narratives for each brand that resonate with tangible value in a price-sensitive market.

Navigating this period demands leveraging insight and embracing innovation. We integrate technology, including accessible AI and data analytics, not just for efficiency, but to enhance strategic decision-making, anticipate trends, and enable more sophisticated, personalised brand experiences. Building trust through unwavering transparency and authentic communication is paramount; it forms the bedrock of lasting consumer relationships. Addressing supply chain vulnerabilities is also non-negotiable, ensuring reliability when it matters most. A well-executed brand architecture, blending strategic foresight with creative execution and technological insight, is how brands don’t just survive economic headwinds, but emerge stronger, more connected, and positioned for sustainable success.

Author

Mike Smith is the Research Lead at Brand and Deliver, bringing over five years of experience in marketing, brand strategy, and event delivery. He has worked closely with some of the world’s leading tech companies, helping them amplify their brand presence and execute high-impact campaigns. Known for his strategic mindset and creative problem-solving, Mike is passionate about forging meaningful connections and delivering measurable results in the tech marketing space. He holds a degree from Solent University.

References

[1] 71% of CEOs still planning M&A as a growth strategy.
[10] Private-label products account for nearly 20% of U.S. grocery spend.
[12] Implementing tiered pricing strategies across brand portfolios.
[13] Shein’s launch of Musera, a trend-based sub-brand in the UK.
[14] Targeting specific demographics like Gen Z who value sustainability and authenticity.
[15] The slowdown in the beauty and personal care industry.
[16] Transparent communication about sourcing and practices.
[17] Consumer confidence has dropped significantly due to tariff concerns.
[18] Effective brand architecture should emphasise authenticity, clarity, and empathy.
[19] Leveraging digital platforms, data analytics, and AI tools enhances decision-making.
[Source] Experiential marketing creates engaging and memorable brand experiences.
[Forbes] Oatly’s use of social media to be open about supply chain challenges.
[Business Insider] Allbirds building a community around environmental impact and transparency.
[Internal Research] Various internal research findings and statistics.